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Epidemiology 2:
Population Modeling

Epidemiology 2: Population Modeling

Vaccination Allocation Simulations

Covid-19 Agent-Based Model: An Epidemiological Simulator Applied in Vaccination Scenarios for Quezon City, Philippines

Q-SEIR

A modification of the SEIR (Susceptibles-Exposed-Infectives-Removeds) compartmental model, adding a quarantine parameter Q(t) which may vary with time. This was chosen over the simpler SIR model because we have an estimate on the incubation period. Q(t) acts by limiting contacts between susceptibles and infectives. Q = 1 means no quarantine (basic SEIR) Q = 0.4 means the quarantine is 60% successful.

Age Stratification

This is a probability game which uses data of COVID patients in China (44672 patients by Feb. 11, 2020), stratified by ages. We now treat the stratification as the corresponding probabilities of people in any age group of contracting the disease. As can be expected, this will skew the Chinese distribution depending on the age distribution of the area under study, and the true distribution for the study area will be revealed as actual cases are reported.

These methods were developed by Dr. Vena Pearl Bongolan (VPN) and first applied to modeling the Covid-19 epidemic unraveling in Quezon City by a team of researchers from UP Diliman, CFI and NCMH.

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Data Governance
  • Portfolio
    • Atipan+ (TDP4) >
      • Atipan+ Latest News
      • Atipan+ Community Work
      • Atipan+ GEI Resources
      • ATIPAN+ General Workshop 2025 >
        • Training Materials
      • Atipan Project >
        • Atipan Health Blog
    • I3C >
      • I3C REDCap Workshop
      • I3C Program
      • I3C Speakers
      • I3C Mental Health
      • I3C Event Map
      • I3C FAQs
      • I3C Highlights
    • AI/ML
    • COVID-19 Toolkit >
      • COVID-19 Guidelines
      • Epidemiology >
        • Epidemiology 1: Hospital Resources
        • Epidemiology 2: Population Modeling
        • Epidemiology 3: Tools
        • Epidemiology 4: Genomic Surveillance
      • PPE Needs Dashboard
    • Electronic Medical Record: UNEMR
    • MPA-FishMApp
    • USES
    • MHIS
    • Collaborations >
      • RODE Project
      • NOMHIR
      • PCN-TIS
      • CNBIG
      • Covid-19 Patient Data Consortium
  • Our Latest News
    • Publications
    • CFI Gallery
  • Resources
    • REDCap Users Consortium (RUC) >
      • RUC Latest News
      • RUC Projects
      • RUC Gallery
      • About REDCap
      • REDCap Resources
      • Contact Us
    • Data Governance
    • InShelf Inventory
    • U-Contact Trace
    • Health Map
    • FHIR
    • EpidSurge
    • FLDR
    • CFI Tickets
    • UnEMR
  • Internship Program
    • Summer Internship 2024
    • Summer Internship 2022
    • Summer Internship 2021 >
      • Daily Positive vs Daily Unique
      • Daily Deaths vs Daily Positives
      • Cases per Health Status
      • Cases per Health Status per Sex
      • Cases per Health Status per Age Group
      • Hospital Utilization
  • Career Opportunities
  • About CFI
  • Contact Us